2009 NCAA Tournament Log5 and Picks

Thursday, March 19th, 2009

I don't have a lot of commentary right now since I'm on vacation (spring training is pretty cool, you know), but I have made my NCAA Tournament picks and computed the Log5 win probabilities based on KenPom's rankings. See below.  There are actually five brackets there (my ESPN entries), but #1 ...

Log5 for the D-II South Region

Wednesday, March 12th, 2008

I've probably exhausted analysis of the NCAA D-II South Regional tournament field as a whole by now, but I do have the log5 predicted outcomes. The Pythagorean win percentages, ratings, and ranks are courtesy of a simple ratings formula implemented by Doug Sparks ("Ratings" are on a linear scale ...

GSC Quarterfinal Recap and Updated Log5

Saturday, March 8th, 2008

Note for those using feed readers: You probably will not see the tables in this post. Click through for the full detail. Friday had little drama at the GSC Tournament, except for one game, and there were no upsets. Let's get into the recaps, starting with Harding's game. #1W Harding ...

GSC Tournament updated log5, stats, and quick recaps

Thursday, March 6th, 2008

The opening round games were last night, and everything went pretty much as expected. That's bad news, at least relatively speaking, for the favorites, who suffer slightly in the updated Log5 predictions because of the increasing quality of their potential opponents. Some quick recaps: #5W Arkansas Tech 65, #4E Alabama-Huntsville 49 The ...

GSC Tournament Log5 Predictions

Wednesday, March 5th, 2008

Here are each team's chances of winning the GSC Tournament, courtesy of the Log5 method: A few notes: Christian Brothers has been the best team in the GSC West by point differential, so that and their #2 seed gave them an edge over Harding, despite the tougher quarterfinal matchup. Even though UAH beat ...